Is Jill Derby A Sleeper Candidate?
While the race for Nevada's 2nd Congressional District is wide open this year, many still believe it will eventually stay in Republican control due to the Republican voter registration advantage.
However there are several reasons why this may be a misjudgement. There are three Republican candidates who are doing nothing but hurting each other badly through accusations and negative ads. Meanwhile, Jill Derby can work on a positive profile, which she has started by airing radio ads. Also, Jill Derby has managed to raise record-breaking amounts of contributions for a Democrat in this District and is keeping pace with Republican candidates who will surely spend a lot of their cash on hand before the August 15th primary.
And, even if some pundits don't rank this race in their top twenty this year, many Democratic leaders seem to believe that Jill Derby can win.
First, I'll take a look at the fundraising numbers for all NV-02 candidates as of the end of the second quarter of this year:
The only reason Angle can compete is because the Club for Growth raises money for, and the only reason Dawn Gibbons can compete is because her husband is the incumbent and is now running for Governor.
Whoever wins the primary on August 15th will be badly bruised and it remains to be seen whether the two losers will get behind the winner. Whoever wins the primary will also have spent a lot of his/her money. Both Angle's and Gibbons' cash on hand is already significantly below that of Jill Derby and you can expect all three Republicans to spend heavily before the primary.
Apparently, much of the Democratic Leadership see it the same way. Otherwise, the amount of money given by top Democrats to Jill Derby's campaign would be hard to explain. I'll give you a rundown of the contributions Jill received either through PACs or directly from other campaigns:
If you wanna know more about Jill Derby go to her website.
If you wanna help Jill Derby win you can volunteer or contribute through my ActBlue page.
However there are several reasons why this may be a misjudgement. There are three Republican candidates who are doing nothing but hurting each other badly through accusations and negative ads. Meanwhile, Jill Derby can work on a positive profile, which she has started by airing radio ads. Also, Jill Derby has managed to raise record-breaking amounts of contributions for a Democrat in this District and is keeping pace with Republican candidates who will surely spend a lot of their cash on hand before the August 15th primary.
And, even if some pundits don't rank this race in their top twenty this year, many Democratic leaders seem to believe that Jill Derby can win.
First, I'll take a look at the fundraising numbers for all NV-02 candidates as of the end of the second quarter of this year:
Jill Derby (D)Right now only Dean Heller is slightly ahead of Derby in the fundraising department, but only slightly. And Heller hasn't even begun airing any ads yet. Even though he's been on the ballot statewide three times (he's in his third term as Secretary of State) he somehow doesn't do very well in the polls and is lagging behind both Sharron Angle and Dawn Gibbons.
Total Contributions: $704,487
Cash on Hand: $513,817
Sharron Angle (R)
Total Contributions: $660,931
Cash on Hand: $353,045
Dawn Gibbons (R)
Total Contributions: $698,189
Cash on Hand: $342,843
Dean Heller (R)
Total Contributions: $797,807
Cash on Hand: $521,389
The only reason Angle can compete is because the Club for Growth raises money for, and the only reason Dawn Gibbons can compete is because her husband is the incumbent and is now running for Governor.
Whoever wins the primary on August 15th will be badly bruised and it remains to be seen whether the two losers will get behind the winner. Whoever wins the primary will also have spent a lot of his/her money. Both Angle's and Gibbons' cash on hand is already significantly below that of Jill Derby and you can expect all three Republicans to spend heavily before the primary.
Apparently, much of the Democratic Leadership see it the same way. Otherwise, the amount of money given by top Democrats to Jill Derby's campaign would be hard to explain. I'll give you a rundown of the contributions Jill received either through PACs or directly from other campaigns:
Rep. Nancy Pelosi (CA): $14,000Now, I think the numbers speak for themselves. When the leadership of Democrats in Congress give a combined $40,500 to your campaign, two apparent presidential candidates and nearly half of California's Democratic delegation take enough notice to contibute to your campaign, you just know that you've got a pretty darn good chance at beating whoever the Republicans will nominate.
Rep. Steny Hoyer (MD): $10,000
Sen. Harry Reid (NV): $10,000
Rep. Rahm Emanuel (IL): $6,500
Rep. Shelley Berkley (NV): $5,200
Mark Warner (VA): $5,000
Tom Daschle (SD): $2,500
Rep. Howard Berman (CA): $2,000
Rep. Loretta Sanchez (CA): $2,000
Rep. Sam Farr (CA): $1,500
Rep. Tammy Baldwin (WI): $1,000
Rep. Lois Capps (CA): $1,000
Rep. Jane Harman (CA): $1,000
Rep. Nita Lowey (NY): $1,000
Sen. Robert Menendez (NJ): $1,000
Rep. Juanita Millender-McDonald (CA): $1,000
Rep. George Miller (CA): $1,000
Rep. David Obey (WI): $1,000
Rep. Lucille Roybal-Allard (CA): $1,000
Rep. Janice Schakowsky (IL): $1,000
Rep. Hilda Solis (CA): $1,000
Rep. Mark Udall (UT): $1,000
Rep. Chris van Hollen (MD): $1,000
Rep. Diane Watson (CA): $1,000
Rep. Mike Honda (CA): $500
Rep. Zoe Lofgren (CA): $500
If you wanna know more about Jill Derby go to her website.
If you wanna help Jill Derby win you can volunteer or contribute through my ActBlue page.
posted by Sven at 8:43 AM
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